Featherweight
3 Rounds
Max Holloway won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 11, 2012·Denver, Colorado, USA, USA
Style matchupJustin Lawrence: Elusive strikervsMax Holloway: Pressure fighter
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Justin Lawrence wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Max Holloway wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Justin Lawrence
Red Corner
VS
Max Holloway
Blue Corner
+150
(40%)
Vegas Odds
-160
(62%)
36
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin Lawrence
oldest →latest
W
KOvs John Cofer · Jun 12L
SUBvs Daniel Pineda · Apr 13Max Holloway
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chan Sung Jung · Aug 23W
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Apr 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Oct 24W
vs Dustin Poirier · Jul 25L
vs Charles Oliveira · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin LawrenceMetricMax Holloway
3.84
Strikes / min
6.91
2.83
Strikes absorbed / min
4.61
67%
Strike defense
58%
0.72
TDs / 15 min
0.23
73%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.01Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+2.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin LawrenceMax Holloway
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Lawrence(3 fights)Max Holloway(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.4-16.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Justin Lawrence
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights3
Max Holloway
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights32