Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Aleksandar Rakic won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 22, 2018·Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Germany
Style matchupJustin Ledet: StrikervsAleksandar Rakic: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.
Model Prediction: Justin Ledet wins(65.5%)
Actual result: Aleksandar Rakic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Ledet enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Aleksandar Rakic enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Aleksandar Rakic has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Justin Ledet
Red Corner
VS
Aleksandar Rakic
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'4"
203.2 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin LedetL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Mark Godbeer · Nov 16W
vs Zu Anyanwu · Sep 17L
KOvs Johnny Walker · Feb 19L
vs Aleksa Camur · Jan 20L
KOvs Dustin Jacoby · Oct 20Aleksandar RakicL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Thiago Santos · Mar 21L
KOvs Jan Blachowicz · May 22L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Apr 24L
vs Magomed Ankalaev · Oct 24L
KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Oct 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin LedetMetricAleksandar Rakic
3.35
Strikes / min
4.13
4.82
Strikes absorbed / min
2.86
49%
Strike defense
51%
0.23
TDs / 15 min
0.64
42%
Takedown defense
85%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.47Δ 2.74 — meaningful gap+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin LedetAleksandar Rakic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Ledet(7 fights)Aleksandar Rakic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.6-21.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+3.6-3.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Justin Ledet
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights7
Aleksandar Rakic
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights11