Lightweight
3 Rounds
Justin Salas won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 10, 2014·Cincinnati, Ohio, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Justin Salas wins(70.6%)
Actual result: Justin Salas wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Salas enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justin Salas has 39pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ben Wall has 100pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Salas (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Justin Salas
Red Corner
VS
Ben Wall
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
44
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin SalasL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tim Means · Jun 12W
vs Aaron Riley · Jul 13L
SUBvs Thiago Tavares · Nov 13L
KOvs Joe Proctor · Jul 14L
KOvs Jason Saggo · Mar 16Ben Wall
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Alex Garcia · Dec 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin SalasMetricBen Wall
3.42
Strikes / min
1.47
2.96
Strikes absorbed / min
8.53
68%
Strike defense
29%
2.43
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
100%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.46Δ 7.52 — meaningful gap-7.06
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin SalasBen Wall
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Salas(7 fights)Ben Wall(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.4-18.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+27.0-27.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Justin Salas
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights7
Ben Wall
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2