Flyweight
3 Rounds
Justin Scoggins won
UFC Event·Saturday, May 23, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Justin Scoggins wins(80.4%)
Actual result: Justin Scoggins wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Scoggins enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Scoggins (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Justin Scoggins
Red Corner
VS
Joshua Sampo
Blue Corner
-500
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+400
(20%)
34
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'4"
167.64 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin ScogginsL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs John Moraga · Sep 14W
vs Ray Borg · Feb 16L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 16L
vs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 17L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18Joshua SampoL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ryan Benoit · Nov 13L
vs Zach Makovsky · Feb 14L
vs Paddy Holohan · Jul 14Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin ScogginsMetricJoshua Sampo
3.56
Strikes / min
—
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
Strike defense
—
3.42
TDs / 15 min
—
82%
Takedown defense
—
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin ScogginsJoshua Sampo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Scoggins(9 fights)Joshua Sampo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.9-12.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-48.048.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Justin Scoggins
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9
Joshua Sampo
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights2