Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ulka Sasaki won
UFC Event·Saturday, June 17, 2017·Kallang, Singapore, Singapore
Model Prediction: Justin Scoggins wins(78.0%)
Actual result: Ulka Sasaki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ulka Sasaki has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Justin Scoggins
Red Corner
VS
Ulka Sasaki
Blue Corner
-525
(84%)
Vegas Odds
+415
(19%)
34
Age
27
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'10"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin ScogginsL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs John Moraga · Sep 14W
vs Joshua Sampo · May 15W
vs Ray Borg · Feb 16L
SUBvs Pedro Munhoz · Nov 16L
vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 18Ulka Sasaki
oldest →latest
W
vs Willie Gates · May 16L
vs Wilson Reis · Feb 17L
vs Jussier Formiga · Sep 17W
vs Jenel Lausa · Jun 18L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Nov 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin ScogginsMetricUlka Sasaki
3.56
Strikes / min
—
2.16
Strikes absorbed / min
—
55%
Strike defense
—
3.42
TDs / 15 min
—
82%
Takedown defense
—
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin ScogginsUlka Sasaki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Scoggins(9 fights)Ulka Sasaki(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+25.4-25.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.6-1.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Justin Scoggins
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights9
Ulka Sasaki
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1