Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Justin Tafa won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 18, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Justin Tafa wins(62.8%)
Actual result: Justin Tafa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Tafa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Harry Hunsucker has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Justin Tafa has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Tafa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Justin Tafa
Red Corner
VS
Harry Hunsucker
Blue Corner
-320
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
32
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin TafaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Vanderaa · May 21W
KOvs Parker Porter · Feb 23W
KOvs Austen Lane · Sep 23L
vs Karl Williams · Mar 24L
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Feb 25Harry HunsuckerL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Mar 21L
KOvs Tyson Pedro · Aug 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin TafaMetricHarry Hunsucker
4.05
Strikes / min
3.54
5.11
Strikes absorbed / min
6.53
47%
Strike defense
42%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
53%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
2.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06Δ 1.93 — meaningful gap-2.99
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin TafaHarry Hunsucker
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Tafa(9 fights)Harry Hunsucker(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-14.014.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-63.063.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Justin Tafa
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Harry Hunsucker
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3