Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jared Vanderaa enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Justin Tafa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jared Vanderaa has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Tafa (53.5%).
- Jared Vanderaa has a 15cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin TafaL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Dec 21W
KOvs Parker Porter · Feb 23W
KOvs Austen Lane · Sep 23L
vs Karl Williams · Mar 24L
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Feb 25 Jared VanderaaL5 streak
oldest →L
KOvs Alexandr Romanov · Oct 21L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Feb 22L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Apr 22L
KOvs Chase Sherman · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Oct 22 Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Justin TafaJared Vanderaa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Tafa(9 fights)Jared Vanderaa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red +35.0|Blue -35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage