Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Justin Tafa won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 11, 2023·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJustin Tafa: Pressure fightervsParker Porter: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Justin Tafa wins(54.3%)
Actual result: Justin Tafa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Tafa is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Parker Porter has lost 75% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Tafa (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Justin Tafa
Red Corner
VS
Parker Porter
Blue Corner
-120
(55%)
Vegas Odds
+100
(50%)
32
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin TafaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Vanderaa · May 21W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Dec 21W
KOvs Austen Lane · Sep 23L
vs Karl Williams · Mar 24L
KOvs Tallison Teixeira · Feb 25Parker Porter
oldest →latest
W
vs Chase Sherman · Aug 21W
vs Alan Baudot · Feb 22L
SUBvs Jailton Almeida · May 22W
KOvs Braxton Smith · May 23L
KOvs Junior Tafa · Aug 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin TafaMetricParker Porter
4.05
Strikes / min
6.55
5.11
Strikes absorbed / min
6.32
47%
Strike defense
51%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
1.35
53%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06Δ 1.29 — meaningful gap+0.23
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin TafaParker Porter
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Tafa(9 fights)Parker Porter(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-23.823.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+154.0-154.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
Justin Tafa
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Parker Porter
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8