Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tallison Teixeira won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 8, 2025·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupJustin Tafa: Pressure fightervsTallison Teixeira: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Tallison Teixeira wins(52.5%)
Actual result: Tallison Teixeira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Justin Tafa has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Justin Tafa (53.5%).
- Tallison Teixeira has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Justin Tafa
Red Corner
VS
Tallison Teixeira
Blue Corner
+132
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-156
(61%)
32
Age
26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'7"
187.96 cm
Reach
210.82 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justin Tafa
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Vanderaa · May 21W
KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Dec 21W
KOvs Parker Porter · Feb 23W
KOvs Austen Lane · Sep 23L
vs Karl Williams · Mar 24Tallison Teixeira
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Jul 25W
vs Tai Tuivasa · Jan 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justin TafaMetricTallison Teixeira
4.05
Strikes / min
5.02
5.11
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
47%
Strike defense
42%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.48
53%
Takedown defense
0%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.06Δ 2.22 — meaningful gap+1.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justin TafaTallison Teixeira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justin Tafa(9 fights)Tallison Teixeira(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.7-1.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Justin Tafa
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9
Tallison Teixeira
StanceOrthodox
Height79.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights3