Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Justine Kish won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Friday, December 9, 2016·Albany, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupJustine Kish: Pressure fightervsAshley Yoder: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Justine Kish wins(57.0%)
Actual result: Justine Kish wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ashley Yoder enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Justine Kish has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ashley Yoder has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Ashley Yoder (53.5%).
- Ashley Yoder has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Justine Kish
Red Corner
VS
Ashley Yoder
Blue Corner
-230
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Justine KishL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Felice Herrig · Jun 17L
vs Ji Yeon Kim · Jan 18W
vs Luci Pudilova · Jan 20L
SUBvs Sabina Mazo · Sep 20L
vs Tracy Cortez · Apr 21Ashley YoderL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Livinha Souza · Aug 20W
vs Miranda Granger · Nov 20L
vs Angela Hill · Mar 21L
vs Jinh Yu Frey · Jul 21L
vs Emily Ducote · Oct 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Justine KishMetricAshley Yoder
4.51
Strikes / min
3.42
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
4.13
57%
Strike defense
47%
0.87
TDs / 15 min
1.09
50%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.08evenly matched on net striking-0.71
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Justine KishAshley Yoder
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Justine Kish(7 fights)Ashley Yoder(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.2-15.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Justine Kish
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights7
Ashley Yoder
StanceSouthpaw
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11