Featherweight
3 Rounds
Mairon Santos won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, August 24, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kaan Ofli wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Mairon Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mairon Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Mairon Santos is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Kaan Ofli has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Mairon Santos has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Mairon Santos has 69pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Mairon Santos has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kaan Ofli
Red Corner
VS
Mairon Santos
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
32
Age
25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
167.64 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kaan OfliW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Muhammad Naimov · Feb 25W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Oct 25W
vs Yizha · Jan 26Mairon SantosW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Francis Marshall · Mar 25W
vs Sodiq Yusuff · May 25W
KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kaan OfliMetricMairon Santos
2.33
Strikes / min
3.33
3.34
Strikes absorbed / min
2.24
54%
Strike defense
65%
0.38
TDs / 15 min
0.00
0%
Takedown defense
69%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.01Δ 2.10 — meaningful gap+1.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kaan OfliMairon Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kaan Ofli(4 fights)Mairon Santos(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Kaan Ofli
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights4
Mairon Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4