Flyweight
3 Rounds
Brandon Royval won · SUB
UFC Event·Saturday, September 26, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupKai Kara-France: Well-roundedvsBrandon Royval: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Kai Kara-France wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Brandon Royval wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Brandon Royval threatens submissions; Kai Kara-France has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kai Kara-France has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kai Kara-France has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Brandon Royval (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kai Kara-France
Red Corner
VS
Brandon Royval
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+188
(35%)
33
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'4"
Height
5'9"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kai Kara-France
oldest →latest
W
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 22L
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Jul 22L
vs Amir Albazi · Jun 23W
KOvs Steve Erceg · Aug 24L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jun 25Brandon RoyvalL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · Dec 23W
vs Brandon Moreno · Feb 24W
vs Tatsuro Taira · Oct 24L
vs Joshua Van · Jun 25L
KOvs Manel Kape · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kai Kara-FranceMetricBrandon Royval
4.46
Strikes / min
5.54
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.25
64%
Strike defense
43%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.65
83%
Takedown defense
45%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22evenly matched on net striking+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kai Kara-FranceBrandon Royval
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kai Kara-France(10 fights)Brandon Royval(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.0-31.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+273.0-273.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Kai Kara-France
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11
Brandon Royval
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights12