Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kai Kara-France won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 11, 2021·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKai Kara-France: Well-roundedvsCody Garbrandt: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Kai Kara-France wins(58.6%)
Actual result: Kai Kara-France wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kai Kara-France has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kai Kara-France
Red Corner
VS
Cody Garbrandt
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-145
(59%)
33
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kai Kara-France
oldest →latest
W
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 22L
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Jul 22L
vs Amir Albazi · Jun 23W
KOvs Steve Erceg · Aug 24L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jun 25Cody Garbrandt
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevin Jones · Mar 23W
KOvs Brian Kelleher · Dec 23L
SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · Apr 24L
vs Raoni Barcelos · Jun 25W
vs Xiao Long · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kai Kara-FranceMetricCody Garbrandt
4.46
Strikes / min
2.79
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
3.66
64%
Strike defense
58%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.85
83%
Takedown defense
81%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22Δ 2.09 — meaningful gap-0.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kai Kara-FranceCody Garbrandt
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kai Kara-France(10 fights)Cody Garbrandt(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-10.310.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Kai Kara-France
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11
Cody Garbrandt
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights17