Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kai Kara-France won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 31, 2019·Shenzhen, Guangdong, China, China
Model Prediction: Kai Kara-France wins(77.0%)
Actual result: Kai Kara-France wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Mark De La Rosa enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Mark De La Rosa threatens submissions; Kai Kara-France has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Kai Kara-France has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kai Kara-France has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Kai Kara-France has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kai Kara-France
Red Corner
VS
Mark De La Rosa
Blue Corner
-185
(65%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
33
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'6"
175.26 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kai Kara-France
oldest →latest
W
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 22L
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Jul 22L
vs Amir Albazi · Jun 23W
KOvs Steve Erceg · Aug 24L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jun 25Mark De La RosaL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Elias Garcia · Jul 18W
vs Joby Sanchez · Nov 18L
vs Alex Perez · Mar 19L
KOvs Raulian Paiva · Feb 20L
vs Jordan Espinosa · Jun 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kai Kara-FranceMetricMark De La Rosa
4.46
Strikes / min
3.13
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
5.00
64%
Strike defense
48%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
0.54
83%
Takedown defense
40%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap-1.87
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kai Kara-FranceMark De La Rosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kai Kara-France(10 fights)Mark De La Rosa(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.8-31.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.9-1.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Kai Kara-France
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11
Mark De La Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights7