Flyweight
3 Rounds
Kai Kara-France won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 17, 2024·Perth, Western Australia, Australia, Australia
Style matchupKai Kara-France: Well-roundedvsSteve Erceg: Pressure fighter
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Kai Kara-France wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Kai Kara-France wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kai Kara-France enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kai Kara-France has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Kai Kara-France
Red Corner
VS
Steve Erceg
Blue Corner
+220
(31%)
Vegas Odds
-298
(75%)
33
Age
30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'8"
175.26 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kai Kara-FranceL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Cody Garbrandt · Dec 21W
vs Askar Askarov · Mar 22L
KOvs Brandon Moreno · Jul 22L
vs Amir Albazi · Jun 23L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Jun 25Steve Erceg
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessandro Costa · Nov 23W
KOvs Matt Schnell · Mar 24L
vs Alexandre Pantoja · May 24L
vs Brandon Moreno · Mar 25W
vs Ode Osbourne · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kai Kara-FranceMetricSteve Erceg
4.46
Strikes / min
4.64
3.24
Strikes absorbed / min
4.07
64%
Strike defense
55%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
1.13
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22evenly matched on net striking+0.57
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kai Kara-FranceSteve Erceg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kai Kara-France(10 fights)Steve Erceg(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.1-9.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+336.0-336.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Kai Kara-France
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights11
Steve Erceg
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights7