Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kamaru Usman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 23, 2016·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(65.3%)
Actual result: Kamaru Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kamaru Usman has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Kamaru Usman
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Yakovlev
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
39
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Alexander YakovlevL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs George Sullivan · Jan 16L
SUBvs Zak Cummings · Nov 16W
SUBvs Alex Da Silva · Apr 19L
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kamaru UsmanMetricAlexander Yakovlev
4.16
Strikes / min
1.74
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
55%
Strike defense
58%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
1.66
89%
Takedown defense
72%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.49Δ 2.16 — meaningful gap-0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kamaru UsmanAlexander Yakovlev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kamaru Usman(10 fights)Alexander Yakovlev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+31.0-31.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Alexander Yakovlev
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9