Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kamaru Usman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, January 14, 2018·St. Louis, Missouri, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(71.8%)
Actual result: Kamaru Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kamaru Usman has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Kamaru Usman has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Kamaru Usman
Red Corner
VS
Emil Meek
Blue Corner
-750
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+525
(16%)
39
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Switch
6'0"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Emil MeekL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jordan Mein · Dec 16L
vs Bartosz Fabinski · Jul 18L
vs Jake Matthews · Feb 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kamaru UsmanMetricEmil Meek
4.16
Strikes / min
2.52
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
55%
Strike defense
38%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
0.25
89%
Takedown defense
47%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.49Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap-0.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kamaru UsmanEmil Meek
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kamaru Usman(10 fights)Emil Meek(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+89.7-89.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-280.0280.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Emil Meek
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4