Welterweight
4 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Kamaru Usman won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Sunday, July 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(56.7%)
Actual result: Kamaru Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kamaru Usman has 64pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (52.9%).
- Kamaru Usman has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kamaru Usman
Red Corner
VS
Hayder Hassan
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
39
Age
43
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Hayder Hassan
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Vicente Luque · Dec 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kamaru UsmanMetricHayder Hassan
4.16
Strikes / min
2.11
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
55%
Strike defense
48%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
0.00
89%
Takedown defense
25%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.49Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap-1.05
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kamaru Usman(10 fights)Hayder Hassan(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Hayder Hassan
Stance—
Height70.0"
Reach—
Fights2