Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Kamaru Usman won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, July 11, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupKamaru Usman: WrestlervsJorge Masvidal: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(73.8%)
Actual result: Kamaru Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kamaru Usman has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Kamaru Usman
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Masvidal
Blue Corner
-240
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+190
(34%)
39
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Jorge MasvidalL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ben Askren · Jul 19W
KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22L
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kamaru UsmanMetricJorge Masvidal
4.16
Strikes / min
4.05
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
55%
Strike defense
64%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
1.38
89%
Takedown defense
72%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.49evenly matched on net striking+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kamaru UsmanJorge Masvidal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kamaru Usman(10 fights)Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+82.8-82.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Jorge Masvidal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22