Middleweight
3 Rounds
Khamzat Chimaev won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 21, 2023·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupKamaru Usman: WrestlervsKhamzat Chimaev: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Khamzat Chimaev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Khamzat Chimaev enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Kamaru Usman
Red Corner
VS
Khamzat Chimaev
Blue Corner
+300
(25%)
Vegas Odds
-380
(79%)
39
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 21W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
KOvs Leon Edwards · Aug 22L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Khamzat ChimaevW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Li Jingliang · Oct 21W
vs Gilbert Burns · Apr 22W
SUBvs Kevin Holland · Sep 22W
SUBvs Robert Whittaker · Oct 24W
vs Dricus Du Plessis · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kamaru UsmanMetricKhamzat Chimaev
4.16
Strikes / min
4.01
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.98
55%
Strike defense
52%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
5.32
89%
Takedown defense
87%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.49evenly matched on net striking+1.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kamaru UsmanKhamzat Chimaev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kamaru Usman(10 fights)Khamzat Chimaev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+96.3-96.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-189.0189.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Khamzat Chimaev
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9