Welterweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Leon Edwards won · KO/TKO R5
UFC Event·Saturday, August 20, 2022·Salt Lake City, Utah, USA, USA
Style matchupKamaru Usman: WrestlervsLeon Edwards: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Kamaru Usman wins(58.4%)
Actual result: Leon Edwards wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Leon Edwards enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kamaru Usman has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kamaru Usman (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Kamaru Usman
Red Corner
VS
Leon Edwards
Blue Corner
-315
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+260
(28%)
39
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'2"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kamaru Usman
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 21W
vs Colby Covington · Nov 21L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 23L
vs Khamzat Chimaev · Oct 23W
vs Joaquin Buckley · Jun 25Leon EdwardsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Kamaru Usman · Mar 23W
vs Colby Covington · Dec 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · Jul 24L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Mar 25L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kamaru UsmanMetricLeon Edwards
4.16
Strikes / min
2.60
2.67
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
55%
Strike defense
52%
2.79
TDs / 15 min
1.25
89%
Takedown defense
63%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.49Δ 1.33 — meaningful gap+0.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kamaru UsmanLeon Edwards
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kamaru Usman(10 fights)Leon Edwards(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+88.3-88.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Kamaru Usman
StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19
Leon Edwards
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights19