Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Rachael Ostovich won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Friday, December 1, 2017·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Karine Gevorgyan wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Rachael Ostovich wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Rachael Ostovich enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karine Gevorgyan has 19pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Rachael Ostovich has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Karine Gevorgyan
Red Corner
VS
Rachael Ostovich
Blue Corner
+375
(21%)
Vegas Odds
-420
(81%)
37
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
157.48 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karine GevorgyanNo prior UFC fights on record.
Rachael OstovichL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Montana De La Rosa · Jul 18L
SUBvs Paige VanZant · Jan 19L
KOvs Gina Mazany · Nov 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karine GevorgyanMetricRachael Ostovich
1.20
Strikes / min
2.54
1.80
Strikes absorbed / min
3.97
76%
Strike defense
57%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
2.03
0%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.60evenly matched on net striking-1.43
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karine Gevorgyan(1 fights)Rachael Ostovich(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Karine Gevorgyan
Stance—
Height64.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights1
Rachael Ostovich
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights4