Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Karine Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 16, 2025·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupKarine Silva: Submission grapplervsDione Barbosa: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Karine Silva wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Karine Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Dione Barbosa has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dione Barbosa has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Karine Silva
Red Corner
VS
Dione Barbosa
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+168
(37%)
32
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
170.18 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karine SilvaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ketlen Souza · Jun 23W
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Aug 23W
vs Ariane da Silva · Apr 24L
vs Viviane Araujo · Nov 24L
vs Maycee Barber · Dec 25Dione Barbosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Ernesta Kareckaite · May 24L
vs Miranda Maverick · Jul 24W
SUBvs Diana Belbita · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karine SilvaMetricDione Barbosa
2.24
Strikes / min
2.21
2.74
Strikes absorbed / min
2.40
52%
Strike defense
64%
1.93
TDs / 15 min
2.40
26%
Takedown defense
63%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50evenly matched on net striking-0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karine SilvaDione Barbosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karine Silva(7 fights)Dione Barbosa(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+30.8-30.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+140.0-140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Karine Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Dione Barbosa
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights5