Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Karine Silva won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 3, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKarine Silva: Submission grapplervsKetlen Souza: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Karine Silva wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Karine Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karine Silva threatens submissions; Ketlen Souza has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Ketlen Souza has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Karine Silva has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Karine Silva
Red Corner
VS
Ketlen Souza
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
32
Age
31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
170.18 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karine Silva
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Maryna Moroz · Aug 23W
vs Ariane da Silva · Apr 24L
vs Viviane Araujo · Nov 24W
vs Dione Barbosa · Aug 25L
vs Maycee Barber · Dec 25Ketlen Souza
oldest →latest
W
vs Marnic Mann · Apr 24W
SUBvs Yazmin Jauregui · Sep 24L
vs Angela Hill · Feb 25L
vs Piera Rodriguez · Aug 25W
vs Bruna Brasil · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karine SilvaMetricKetlen Souza
2.24
Strikes / min
4.01
2.74
Strikes absorbed / min
3.86
52%
Strike defense
52%
1.93
TDs / 15 min
0.46
26%
Takedown defense
53%
1.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.50evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karine SilvaKetlen Souza
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karine Silva(7 fights)Ketlen Souza(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.9-15.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-49.749.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.049.0
Karine Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights7
Ketlen Souza
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights6