Middleweight
3 Rounds
Marvin Vettori won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, June 13, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Karl Roberson wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Marvin Vettori wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Marvin Vettori has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Karl Roberson
Red Corner
VS
Marvin Vettori
Blue Corner
+210
(32%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
35
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'1"
Height
6'0"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karl RobersonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Wellington Turman · Jul 19W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22L
KOvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Jul 22Marvin VettoriL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 23L
vs Jared Cannonier · Jun 23L
vs Roman Dolidze · Mar 25L
vs Brendan Allen · Jul 25L
vs Brunno Ferreira · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karl RobersonMetricMarvin Vettori
2.57
Strikes / min
4.74
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
4.55
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.72
TDs / 15 min
1.41
40%
Takedown defense
68%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karl RobersonMarvin Vettori
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karl Roberson(10 fights)Marvin Vettori(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Karl Roberson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10
Marvin Vettori
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights17