Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Karl Williams won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 13, 2023·Charlotte, North Carolina, USA, USA
Style matchupKarl Williams: WrestlervsChase Sherman: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Karl Williams wins(60.3%)
Actual result: Karl Williams wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Williams has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Karl Williams
Red Corner
VS
Chase Sherman
Blue Corner
-420
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
36
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'4"
200.66 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karl Williams
oldest →latest
W
vs Lukasz Brzeski · Mar 23W
vs Justin Tafa · Mar 24L
vs Jhonata Diniz · Aug 24Chase Sherman
oldest →latest
L
vs Parker Porter · Aug 21L
SUBvs Jake Collier · Jan 22L
SUBvs Alexandr Romanov · Apr 22W
KOvs Jared Vanderaa · Jul 22L
vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta · Nov 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karl WilliamsMetricChase Sherman
2.68
Strikes / min
6.04
2.15
Strikes absorbed / min
6.65
55%
Strike defense
52%
4.20
TDs / 15 min
0.09
100%
Takedown defense
74%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-0.61
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karl WilliamsChase Sherman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karl Williams(4 fights)Chase Sherman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+78.5-78.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-112.0112.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Karl Williams
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights4
Chase Sherman
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights15