Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Karol Rosa won · M-DEC R3
KR
LL
Karol RosavsLina Lansberg
UFC Event · Saturday, October 22, 2022Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Karol Rosa wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Karol Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Lina Lansberg enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karol Rosa has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Karol Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Lina Lansberg
Blue Corner
-425
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
31
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karol Rosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Yana Santos · Jul 23L
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24L
vs Ailin Perez · Jan 25W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25Lina LansbergL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Tonya Evinger · Jun 19W
vs Macy Chiasson · Sep 19L
vs Sara McMann · Jan 20L
vs Pannie Kianzad · Apr 22L
SUBvs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karol RosaMetricLina Lansberg
5.88
Strikes / min
2.69
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
3.87
49%
Strike defense
44%
1.17
TDs / 15 min
0.52
70%
Takedown defense
47%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29Δ 2.47 — meaningful gap-1.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karol RosaLina Lansberg
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karol Rosa(10 fights)Lina Lansberg(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+39.5-39.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Karol Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11
Lina Lansberg
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights11