Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Karol Rosa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 2, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Karol Rosa wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Karol Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karol Rosa has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Karol Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Nora Cornolle
Blue Corner
-158
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+132
(43%)
31
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'7"
170.18 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karol Rosa
oldest →latest
L
vs Norma Dumont · Apr 23W
vs Yana Santos · Jul 23L
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24L
vs Ailin Perez · Jan 25Nora Cornolle
oldest →latest
W
vs Joselyne Edwards · Sep 23W
KOvs Melissa Mullins · Apr 24L
vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Sep 24W
SUBvs Hailey Cowan · Apr 25L
SUBvs Joselyne Edwards · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karol RosaMetricNora Cornolle
5.88
Strikes / min
2.73
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
2.04
49%
Strike defense
56%
1.17
TDs / 15 min
0.22
70%
Takedown defense
47%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29evenly matched on net striking+0.69
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karol RosaNora Cornolle
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karol Rosa(10 fights)Nora Cornolle(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.99.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Karol Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11
Nora Cornolle
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights6