Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Karol Rosa won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 11, 2020·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Style matchupKarol Rosa: Pressure fightervsVanessa Melo: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Karol Rosa wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Karol Rosa wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Vanessa Melo has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Karol Rosa
Red Corner
VS
Vanessa Melo
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
31
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'5"
170.18 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karol Rosa
oldest →latest
W
vs Yana Santos · Jul 23L
vs Irene Aldana · Dec 23W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Aug 24L
vs Ailin Perez · Jan 25W
vs Nora Cornolle · Aug 25Vanessa Melo
oldest →latest
L
vs Irene Aldana · Sep 19L
vs Tracy Cortez · Nov 19W
vs Sarah Moras · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karol RosaMetricVanessa Melo
5.88
Strikes / min
3.48
4.59
Strikes absorbed / min
6.13
49%
Strike defense
59%
1.17
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
71%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.29Δ 3.94 — meaningful gap-2.65
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karol RosaVanessa Melo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karol Rosa(10 fights)Vanessa Melo(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+47.1-47.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+77.0-77.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+2.0-2.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Karol Rosa
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights11
Vanessa Melo
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights4