Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Alexa Grasso won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 8, 2019·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fightervsAlexa Grasso: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Alexa Grasso wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Red Corner
VS
Alexa Grasso
Blue Corner
+105
(49%)
Vegas Odds
-125
(56%)
40
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'5"
162.56 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Alexa Grasso
oldest →latest
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 22W
SUBvs Valentina Shevchenko · Mar 23L
vs Valentina Shevchenko · Sep 24L
vs Natalia Silva · May 25W
KOvs Maycee Barber · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricAlexa Grasso
5.54
Strikes / min
4.11
5.77
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
56%
Strike defense
58%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.40
74%
Takedown defense
54%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karolina KowalkiewiczAlexa Grasso
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Alexa Grasso(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.3-18.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-315.0315.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19
Alexa Grasso
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights14