Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Denise Gomes won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 9, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fightervsDenise Gomes: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins(56.3%)
Actual result: Denise Gomes wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Denise Gomes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tale of the Tape
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Red Corner
VS
Denise Gomes
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
40
Age
26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'2"
162.56 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Silvana Gomez Juarez · Nov 22W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Denise GomesW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Yazmin Jauregui · Jul 23L
vs Angela Hill · Nov 23W
vs Eduarda Moura · Jun 24W
KOvs Elise Reed · May 25W
vs Tecia Pennington · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricDenise Gomes
5.54
Strikes / min
4.43
5.77
Strikes absorbed / min
3.16
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
1.45
74%
Takedown defense
66%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23Δ 1.50 — meaningful gap+1.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karolina KowalkiewiczDenise Gomes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Denise Gomes(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.2-3.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.3-2.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19
Denise Gomes
StanceOrthodox
Height62.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights8