Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 7, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fightervsDiana Belbita: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Diana Belbita has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Red Corner
VS
Diana Belbita
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
40
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'7"
162.56 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Silvana Gomez Juarez · Nov 22W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Diana BelbitaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Hannah Goldy · Jul 21L
vs Gloria de Paula · Feb 22W
vs Maria Oliveira · Jun 23L
SUBvs Molly McCann · Feb 24L
SUBvs Dione Barbosa · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricDiana Belbita
5.54
Strikes / min
6.45
5.77
Strikes absorbed / min
6.55
56%
Strike defense
51%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.86
74%
Takedown defense
64%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karolina KowalkiewiczDiana Belbita
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Diana Belbita(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+38.1-38.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19
Diana Belbita
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights8