Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 7, 2018·Brooklyn, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fightervsFelice Herrig: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Felice Herrig enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Red Corner
VS
Felice Herrig
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+165
(38%)
40
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'4"
162.56 cm
Reach
165.1 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Felice HerrigL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Justine Kish · Jun 17W
vs Cortney Casey · Dec 17L
vs Michelle Waterson · Oct 18L
SUBvs Virna Jandiroba · Aug 20L
SUBvs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricFelice Herrig
5.54
Strikes / min
3.84
5.77
Strikes absorbed / min
5.19
56%
Strike defense
48%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
1.08
74%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23Δ 1.12 — meaningful gap-1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karolina KowalkiewiczFelice Herrig
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Felice Herrig(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.528.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+42.0-42.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.9-2.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19
Felice Herrig
StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights10