Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Iasmin Lucindo won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 4, 2024·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fightervsIasmin Lucindo: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins(57.6%)
Actual result: Iasmin Lucindo wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Tale of the Tape
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Red Corner
VS
Iasmin Lucindo
Blue Corner
+280
(26%)
Vegas Odds
-355
(78%)
40
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'3"
162.56 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Silvana Gomez Juarez · Nov 22W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Iasmin Lucindo
oldest →latest
W
vs Brogan Walker · Apr 23W
SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 23W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Oct 24L
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 25W
vs Angela Hill · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricIasmin Lucindo
5.54
Strikes / min
3.22
5.77
Strikes absorbed / min
2.80
56%
Strike defense
62%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
2.28
74%
Takedown defense
68%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23evenly matched on net striking+0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karolina KowalkiewiczIasmin Lucindo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Iasmin Lucindo(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.5-21.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-56.056.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+2.5-2.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19
Iasmin Lucindo
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights7