Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Karolina Kowalkiewicz won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 21, 2017·Gdansk, Poland, Poland
Style matchupKarolina Kowalkiewicz: Pressure fightervsJodie Esquibel: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Karolina Kowalkiewicz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karolina Kowalkiewicz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jodie Esquibel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Red Corner
VS
Jodie Esquibel
Blue Corner
-600
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+450
(18%)
40
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'3"
Height
5'1"
162.56 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Karolina KowalkiewiczL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · May 23W
vs Diana Belbita · Oct 23L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · May 24L
vs Denise Gomes · Nov 24L
KOvs Julia Polastri · Oct 25Jodie EsquibelL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jessica Aguilar · Jul 18L
vs Angela Hill · Apr 19L
vs Hannah Cifers · Aug 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Karolina KowalkiewiczMetricJodie Esquibel
5.54
Strikes / min
4.10
5.77
Strikes absorbed / min
7.37
56%
Strike defense
52%
0.36
TDs / 15 min
0.75
74%
Takedown defense
83%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.23Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap-3.27
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Karolina KowalkiewiczJodie Esquibel
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Karolina Kowalkiewicz(10 fights)Jodie Esquibel(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-45.945.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-50.050.0
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights19
Jodie Esquibel
StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights4