Lightweight
3 Rounds
Marc Diakiese won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 4, 2023·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupKaue Fernandes: Elusive strikervsMarc Diakiese: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Kaue Fernandes wins(67.7%)
Actual result: Marc Diakiese wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Kaue Fernandes enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Kaue Fernandes has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Kaue Fernandes
Red Corner
VS
Marc Diakiese
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
31
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kaue FernandesW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mohammad Yahya · Aug 24W
vs Guram Kutateladze · Mar 25W
KOvs Harry Hardwick · Sep 25Marc DiakieseL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Rafael Alves · Nov 21W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Mar 22W
vs Damir Hadzovic · Jul 22L
vs Michael Johnson · Dec 22L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Jul 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kaue FernandesMetricMarc Diakiese
4.28
Strikes / min
2.54
1.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
62%
Strike defense
52%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
3.29
76%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.86Δ 2.96 — meaningful gap-0.10
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kaue FernandesMarc Diakiese
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kaue Fernandes(4 fights)Marc Diakiese(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.91.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+49.1-49.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.6-49.6
Kaue Fernandes
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Marc Diakiese
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14