Lightweight
3 Rounds
Johnny Case won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 20, 2014·Saitama, Japan, Japan
Style matchupKazuki Tokudome: WrestlervsJohnny Case: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Kazuki Tokudome wins(64.3%)
Actual result: Johnny Case wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kazuki Tokudome (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kazuki Tokudome
Red Corner
VS
Johnny Case
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
39
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kazuki TokudomeL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Cristiano Marcello · Mar 13L
vs Norman Parke · Jul 13L
vs Yui Chul Nam · Mar 14Johnny CaseL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frankie Perez · Jan 15W
vs Francisco Trevino · Jun 15W
vs Yan Cabral · Nov 15L
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Mar 16L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Jun 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kazuki TokudomeMetricJohnny Case
2.26
Strikes / min
3.95
3.63
Strikes absorbed / min
2.66
53%
Strike defense
61%
2.00
TDs / 15 min
1.70
78%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.37Δ 2.66 — meaningful gap+1.29
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kazuki TokudomeJohnny Case
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kazuki Tokudome(4 fights)Johnny Case(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-18.418.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.448.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Kazuki Tokudome
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4
Johnny Case
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights6