Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alex Da Silva won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 10, 2019·Montevideo, Uruguay, Uruguay
Model Prediction: Kazula Vargas wins(68.3%)
Actual result: Alex Da Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alex Da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Alex Da Silva has 46pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kazula Vargas (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kazula Vargas
Red Corner
VS
Alex Da Silva
Blue Corner
+240
(29%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
40
Age
30
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kazula Vargas
oldest →latest
L
vs Brok Weaver · Feb 20W
vs Rong Zhu · Apr 21L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Mar 22Alex Da SilvaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 19L
vs Brad Riddell · Sep 20L
vs Joe Solecki · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kazula VargasMetricAlex Da Silva
3.65
Strikes / min
2.14
1.77
Strikes absorbed / min
2.52
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.40
TDs / 15 min
1.97
30%
Takedown defense
76%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.88Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap-0.38
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kazula VargasAlex Da Silva
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kazula Vargas(4 fights)Alex Da Silva(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.9-19.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+50.0-50.0
Kazula Vargas
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights4
Alex Da Silva
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4