Featherweight
5 Rounds
🏆 Title Bout
Keiichiro Nakamura won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, January 31, 2026·Sydney, New South Wales, Australia, Australia
Style matchupKeiichiro Nakamura: Pressure fightervsSebastian Szalay: Elusive striker
The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.
Model Prediction: Keiichiro Nakamura wins(51.7%)
Actual result: Keiichiro Nakamura wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keiichiro Nakamura (53.5%).
- Keiichiro Nakamura has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Keiichiro Nakamura
Red Corner
VS
Sebastian Szalay
Blue Corner
+102
(50%)
Vegas Odds
-120
(55%)
27
Age
32
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'6"
177.8 cm
Reach
167.64 cm
Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keiichiro NakamuraMetricSebastian Szalay
4.48
Strikes / min
4.94
4.28
Strikes absorbed / min
2.20
63%
Strike defense
65%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.51
78%
Takedown defense
84%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.20Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap+2.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Keiichiro NakamuraSebastian Szalay
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Keiichiro Nakamura
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights1
Sebastian Szalay
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights1