Welterweight
3 Rounds
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2016·Portland, Oregon, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins(54.8%)
Actual result: Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Keita Nakamura (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Keita Nakamura
Red Corner
VS
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Blue Corner
-125
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+105
(49%)
41
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Keita Nakamura
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Kyle Noke · Jul 16W
vs Alex Morono · Sep 17L
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Apr 18W
vs Salim Touahri · Dec 18L
vs Sultan Aliev · Apr 19Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Abubakar Nurmagomedov · Jun 23L
vs Randy Brown · Jun 24W
KOvs Zachary Scroggin · Nov 24L
KOvs Chidi Njokuani · Mar 25L
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keita NakamuraMetricElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
2.23
Strikes / min
4.16
3.20
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
58%
Strike defense
55%
1.65
TDs / 15 min
0.79
63%
Takedown defense
67%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.97Δ 1.57 — meaningful gap+0.60
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Keita NakamuraElizeu Zaleski dos Santos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Keita Nakamura(8 fights)Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.6-19.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-88.088.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Keita Nakamura
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights15