Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Matt Hamill won · M-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 19, 2010·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKeith Jardine: Well-roundedvsMatt Hamill: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Matt Hamill wins(56.5%)
Actual result: Matt Hamill wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Matt Hamill has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Keith Jardine
Red Corner
VS
Matt Hamill
Blue Corner
+140
(42%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
50
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Keith JardineNo prior UFC fights on record.
Matt Hamill
oldest →latest
W
vs Tito Ortiz · Oct 10L
vs Rampage Jackson · May 11L
KOvs Alexander Gustafsson · Aug 11W
vs Roger Hollett · Sep 12L
vs Thiago Silva · Oct 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keith JardineMetricMatt Hamill
3.25
Strikes / min
3.69
2.98
Strikes absorbed / min
3.80
59%
Strike defense
61%
1.18
TDs / 15 min
3.00
62%
Takedown defense
91%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.11
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Keith JardineMatt Hamill
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Keith Jardine(1 fights)Matt Hamill(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Keith Jardine
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights1
Matt Hamill
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights6