Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ivan Jorge won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Wednesday, September 4, 2013·Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais, Brazil, Brazil
Model Prediction: Keith Wisniewski wins(67.3%)
Actual result: Ivan Jorge wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ivan Jorge has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Keith Wisniewski
Red Corner
VS
Ivan Jorge
Blue Corner
+255
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
44
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'9"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Keith WisniewskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Josh Neer · Oct 11L
vs Chris Clements · Apr 12Ivan Jorge
oldest →latest
L
vs Rodrigo Damm · Feb 14W
vs Josh Shockley · Feb 15L
SUBvs Joe Duffy · Jul 15Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Keith WisniewskiMetricIvan Jorge
2.32
Strikes / min
3.41
4.86
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
42%
Strike defense
59%
1.57
TDs / 15 min
1.56
78%
Takedown defense
75%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-2.54Δ 3.04 — meaningful gap+0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Keith WisniewskiIvan Jorge
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Keith Wisniewski(3 fights)Ivan Jorge(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.036.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Keith Wisniewski
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach—
Fights3
Ivan Jorge
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights4