Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kelvin Gastelum won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Wednesday, August 28, 2013·Indianapolis, Indiana, USA, USA
Style matchupKelvin Gastelum: Well-roundedvsBrian Melancon: Wrestler
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum wins(57.5%)
Actual result: Kelvin Gastelum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Kelvin Gastelum
Red Corner
VS
Brian Melancon
Blue Corner
-310
(76%)
Vegas Odds
+280
(26%)
34
Age
43
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Brian Melancon
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Seth Baczynski · Jul 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kelvin GastelumMetricBrian Melancon
3.65
Strikes / min
4.18
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.64
57%
Strike defense
64%
1.04
TDs / 15 min
2.02
60%
Takedown defense
66%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.54
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kelvin GastelumBrian Melancon
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)Brian Melancon(2 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.91.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Brian Melancon
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach—
Fights2