Middleweight
3 Rounds
Darren Till won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 2, 2019·New York City, New York, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum wins(50.8%)
Actual result: Darren Till wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darren Till enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Kelvin Gastelum
Red Corner
VS
Darren Till
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
34
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Darren TillL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Tyron Woodley · Sep 18L
KOvs Jorge Masvidal · Mar 19L
vs Robert Whittaker · Jul 20L
SUBvs Derek Brunson · Sep 21L
SUBvs Dricus Du Plessis · Dec 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kelvin GastelumMetricDarren Till
3.65
Strikes / min
2.30
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.31
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.04
TDs / 15 min
0.55
60%
Takedown defense
69%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.13Δ 1.14 — meaningful gap-1.01
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kelvin GastelumDarren Till
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)Darren Till(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+40.4-40.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Darren Till
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights11