Middleweight
3 Rounds
Joe Pyfer won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 7, 2025·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupKelvin Gastelum: Well-roundedvsJoe Pyfer: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum wins(51.2%)
Actual result: Joe Pyfer wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Joe Pyfer enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
- Joe Pyfer has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kelvin Gastelum
Red Corner
VS
Joe Pyfer
Blue Corner
+310
(24%)
Vegas Odds
-390
(80%)
34
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'2"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kelvin GastelumW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Cannonier · Aug 21W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Joe PyferW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Abdul Razak Alhassan · Oct 23L
vs Jack Hermansson · Feb 24W
KOvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Jun 24W
SUBvs Abus Magomedov · Oct 25W
KOvs Israel Adesanya · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kelvin GastelumMetricJoe Pyfer
3.65
Strikes / min
3.52
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
3.22
57%
Strike defense
52%
1.04
TDs / 15 min
1.45
60%
Takedown defense
62%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.13evenly matched on net striking+0.30
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kelvin GastelumJoe Pyfer
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)Joe Pyfer(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.3-14.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Joe Pyfer
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8