Welterweight
3 Rounds
Kelvin Gastelum won
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2014·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kelvin Gastelum wins(63.5%)
Actual result: Kelvin Gastelum wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kelvin Gastelum (53.5%).
- Nico Musoke has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kelvin Gastelum
Red Corner
VS
Nico Musoke
Blue Corner
-275
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
34
Age
28
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kelvin Gastelum
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Apr 23L
SUBvs Sean Brady · Dec 23W
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Jun 24L
vs Joe Pyfer · Jun 25W
vs Dustin Stoltzfus · Sep 25Nico MusokeL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alessio Sakara · Oct 13W
vs Viscardi Andrade · Feb 14W
vs Alexander Yakovlev · Oct 14L
vs Albert Tumenov · Jan 15L
vs Bojan Velickovic · May 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kelvin GastelumMetricNico Musoke
3.65
Strikes / min
—
3.52
Strikes absorbed / min
—
57%
Strike defense
—
1.04
TDs / 15 min
—
60%
Takedown defense
—
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
—
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kelvin GastelumNico Musoke
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kelvin Gastelum(10 fights)Nico Musoke(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+21.0-21.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-28.028.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Kelvin Gastelum
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Nico Musoke
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights3