Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Kennedy Nzechukwu won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, July 9, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins(64.8%)
Actual result: Kennedy Nzechukwu wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Karl Roberson enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Kennedy Nzechukwu has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kennedy Nzechukwu
Red Corner
VS
Karl Roberson
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+135
(43%)
33
Age
35
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
6'5"
Height
6'1"
210.82 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kennedy Nzechukwu
oldest →latest
L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24W
KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25D
vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25Karl RobersonL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Wellington Turman · Jul 19W
SUBvs Roman Kopylov · Nov 19L
SUBvs Marvin Vettori · Jun 20L
SUBvs Brendan Allen · Apr 21L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kennedy NzechukwuMetricKarl Roberson
4.96
Strikes / min
2.57
4.58
Strikes absorbed / min
2.42
51%
Strike defense
57%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
0.72
80%
Takedown defense
40%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.38evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kennedy NzechukwuKarl Roberson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Karl Roberson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+9.8-9.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Kennedy Nzechukwu
StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights15
Karl Roberson
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights10