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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tomorrow
Elo1504
Elo1482
Shamil Gaziev

Kennedy NzechukwuvsShamil GazievUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · Saturday, August 22, 2026Sacramento, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupKennedy Nzechukwu: Pressure fightervsShamil Gaziev: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Kennedy Nzechukwu is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Shamil Gaziev has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • Kennedy Nzechukwu has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Kennedy Nzechukwu
Red Corner
VS
Shamil Gaziev
Blue Corner
+109
(48%)
Vegas Odds
-133
(57%)
1504
Elo
1482
34
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'4"
210.82 cm
Reach
198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Kennedy Nzechukwu
oldest →
L
vs Ovince Saint Preux · Mar 24
W
KOvs Chris Barnett · Oct 24
W
KOvs Lukasz Brzeski · Dec 24
L
SUBvs Valter Walker · Jul 25
D
vs Marcus Buchecha · Dec 25
latest
Shamil GazievL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Jairzinho Rozenstruik · Mar 24
W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Aug 24
W
KOvs Thomas Petersen · Feb 25
L
KOvs Waldo Cortes Acosta · Nov 25
L
KOvs Brando Pericic · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Kennedy NzechukwuMetricShamil Gaziev
4.96
Strikes / min
2.94
4.58
Strikes absorbed / min
4.92
51%
Strike defense
45%
0.50
TDs / 15 min
1.06
80%
Takedown defense
83%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.38Δ 2.36 — meaningful gap-1.98
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701485150015151530← oldermost recent →
Kennedy Nzechukwu(10 fights)Shamil Gaziev(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +22.4|Blue -22.4
Recent Form
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +140.0|Blue -140.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO87%

Historical win share: Kennedy Nzechukwu earned 75% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission13%

Historical win share: Kennedy Nzechukwu earned 13% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Kennedy Nzechukwu

StanceSouthpaw
Height77.0"
Reach83.0"
Fights15

Shamil Gaziev

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights5