Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gray Maynard won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 28, 2010·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupKenny Florian: WrestlervsGray Maynard: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gray Maynard wins(54.0%)
Actual result: Gray Maynard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gray Maynard has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Kenny Florian (53.5%).
- Kenny Florian has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Kenny Florian
Red Corner
VS
Gray Maynard
Blue Corner
-140
(58%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
49
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
187.96 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Kenny Florian
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Takanori Gomi · Mar 10W
vs Diego Nunes · Jun 11L
vs Jose Aldo · Oct 11Gray Maynard
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 15W
vs Fernando Bruno · Jul 16L
vs Ryan Hall · Dec 16W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Jul 17L
KOvs Nik Lentz · Oct 18Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Kenny FlorianMetricGray Maynard
2.41
Strikes / min
1.92
1.85
Strikes absorbed / min
2.64
63%
Strike defense
66%
2.22
TDs / 15 min
2.91
60%
Takedown defense
81%
1.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.56Δ 1.28 — meaningful gap-0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Kenny FlorianGray Maynard
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Kenny Florian(4 fights)Gray Maynard(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+18.5-18.5
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.448.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.549.5
Kenny Florian
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4
Gray Maynard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11