Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Raquel Pennington won · S-DEC R3
KV
RP
Ketlen VieiravsRaquel Pennington
UFC Event · Saturday, January 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupKetlen Vieira: Well-roundedvsRaquel Pennington: Well-rounded
Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.
Model Prediction: Ketlen Vieira wins(57.3%)
Actual result: Raquel Pennington wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Raquel Pennington has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ketlen Vieira has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Ketlen Vieira
Red Corner
VS
Raquel Pennington
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
34
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ketlen Vieira
oldest →latest
W
vs Holly Holm · May 22W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Jul 23L
vs Kayla Harrison · Oct 24W
vs Macy Chiasson · May 25L
vs Norma Dumont · Nov 25Raquel Pennington
oldest →latest
W
vs Pannie Kianzad · Sep 21W
SUBvs Macy Chiasson · Dec 21W
vs Aspen Ladd · Apr 22W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Jan 24L
vs Julianna Pena · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ketlen VieiraMetricRaquel Pennington
2.76
Strikes / min
4.10
3.75
Strikes absorbed / min
3.32
50%
Strike defense
61%
1.33
TDs / 15 min
0.83
90%
Takedown defense
62%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.99Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap+0.78
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Ketlen VieiraRaquel Pennington
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ketlen Vieira(10 fights)Raquel Pennington(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-17.617.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-42.042.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.41.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Ketlen Vieira
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights14
Raquel Pennington
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights19